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U.S. Prediction Markets Face Growing Legal Scrutiny Over Event Branding Use

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Yagmur Canel
Content Manager
Updated:
Reading Time: 3 minutes

U.S.-based prediction market platform Kalshi has recently faced significant legal challenges over its use of NCAA-branded event names, particularly March Madness, as part of its event contracts. After a request from the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA), Kalshi removed references to these trademarks, highlighting the ongoing friction between online gambling regulations and intellectual property rights in the U.S. market.

Kalshi, along with other similar platforms, offers event contracts that allow users to trade based on the outcomes of various events, from sports competitions to political predictions. However, the use of protected event names, such as “March Madness” or “Super Bowl”, has drawn scrutiny from intellectual property holders, leading to legal disputes that may reshape how these markets are structured moving forward.

American flag flying between city buildings.

Growing Regulatory Tension

As prediction markets like Kalshi continue to gain popularity, particularly in the context of sports betting, regulators are grappling with the intersection of financial instruments, gambling laws, and intellectual property rights. These platforms allow users to speculate on the outcomes of various events, but their use of branded terminology often runs afoul of trademark protections held by large sports organisations like the NCAA.

In Kalshi’s case, the NCAA asserted that the use of its protected trademarks was misleading, even though Kalshi’s platform is structured as a federally regulated financial product under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This legal complexity raises important questions about how platforms that resemble gambling products should be classified and regulated under existing laws.

Regulatory and Legal Implications

The growing pressure on prediction markets in the U.S. highlights a critical regulatory grey area. While platforms like Kalshi operate under the CFTC’s jurisdiction as financial contracts, they share many features with traditional gambling, especially as they grow in scale and market influence. This has led to calls from state regulators to bring prediction markets more fully under gambling laws, with some states already moving forward with stricter age verification and consumer protection measures.

For example, Connecticut has proposed a 21-year age limit for both prediction markets and gambling access. This regulatory shift could be a model for other states, where there is growing concern over how to regulate platforms like Kalshi that straddle the line between financial trading and sports betting.

A Crossroads for U.S. Online Gambling and Prediction Markets

As prediction markets continue to expand, the question remains whether they will be fully integrated into gambling regulations or if they will continue to be treated as financial instruments. The legal complexity surrounding platforms like Kalshi highlights the difficulties regulators face in keeping up with emerging markets that evolve rapidly and intersect with traditional gambling laws.

The outcome of this regulatory debate will have significant implications for the broader U.S. online gambling market, particularly as lawmakers look to ensure consumer protection, intellectual property rights, and tax revenue generation in an increasingly digital economy.

Navigating Legal Challenges for a Growing Market

Kalshi’s recent removal of NCAA branding signals the growing legal complexities for prediction markets in the U.S. As the sector continues to expand, iGaming platforms like Kalshi will need to navigate a patchwork of state and federal regulations to maintain compliance while innovating in the growing market for event contracts.

Whether prediction markets are classified as financial products or brought under gambling laws, operators will face increasing scrutiny, particularly regarding consumer protections and intellectual property rights. As these platforms mature, they will need to balance regulatory expectations with business goals while addressing emerging legal challenges.

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